Capital flows to developing countries and terms-of-trade shocks

Montevideo. Uruguay

Jornada; XXVIII Jornadas Anuales de Economía; 2013

Banco Central del Uruguay

This paper studies the relationship between FDI inflows and terms-of-trade shocks. We examine the existing literature related to the "Lucas Paradox", and analyze theoretically how a terms-of-trade shock would impact on less developed economies. We apply a xed eects generalized least squares regression framework to regress FDI inflows on terms-of-trade shock alongside other control variables. We find that for the group of "developing" economies the estimated coecient of shocks to TOT are lower than that estimated for the group of advanced" economies. Then, less developed economies do not take advantage of positive global cycles because they are investment-constrained economies.