Inside the revolving door: Campaign finance, lobbying meetings and public contracts. An investigation for Argentina

MONCARZ, PEDRO ESTEBAN; FREILLE, SEBASTIAN; AVRAMOVICH, CECILIA; SOFFIETTI, PABLO

La Plata

Congreso; LIII Reunión Anual de la AAEP; 2018

Asociación Argentina de Economía Política

This paper explores the relationship between political influence actions and benefits obtained from public procurement. We develop a theoretical model of electoral competition where interest groups can engage in both ex-ante campaign contributions and ex-post lobbying contributions. We derive the optimal distribution of ex-ante and ex-post contributions by interest groups to candidates. If the preference of the interest groups are aligned, political contributions to both candidates are increasing in their respective announced expenditures. Ex-ante and ex-post contributions are imperfect substitutes and the higher theannounced expenditure, the more biased the distribution is towards (ex-post) lobbying. Using previously unavailable individual-level data, we test empirically the predictions of the model and to model the probability of obtaininga public contract as a function of both ex-ante and ex-post efforts by interest groups.